Seminar on Information Warfare
2(AS) Division PME Program
‘Information Warfare: recent history and irregular futures’
Information Warfare: recent history and irregular futures. What the Australian Army can learn from Russia and Violent Extremists
During February and March of 2014, Ukraine’s Crimea region was annexed by Russian ‘Little Green Men’.[1] The internet and news media were awash with images and reports of these Russian speaking soldiers who carried Russian arms and equipment driven in Russian plated vehicles. Russian state media rarely showed any notice, only referring to them as ‘volunteers’ or local ‘self-defence groups’.[2] Whilst ostensibly recognised as a quiet Russian invasion and occupation of Crimea, little was done about it at the time. Given the absence of a clear and acknowledged nexus between these ‘little green men’ and their Russian state sponsor, NATO and Europe had little to do in response to this invasion.
The concept of Maskirovka – or active information actions to ‘tell your enemies what you know they wish to hear while doing the opposite’ – while seemingly novel is actually not new.[3] It echoes earlier Soviet era invasions of Afghanistan, as well as ‘interventions’ into Lithuania, Chechnya and Georgia.[4],[5] Arguably it is this sort of approach, articulated by Sun Tzu as winning without fighting, that is being developed and deployed through Chinese and Russian political warfare campaigns.[6] Essentially, it involves rendering the adversaries’ plans for battle irrelevant and removing them from their allies without having to attack a nation’s armies or cities. Extremists favour another approach that similarly aims to degrade an adversary’s will to fight. They tend to employ terror tactics to invoke fear by murdering and mutilating civilians, delivering a statement of intent.[7] Islamic State terrorists are well known for amplifying their narrative through brutal and barbaric public executions broadcast on social media.[8] In both of these approaches, the actors attempt to overcome or overwhelm their adversaries will to fight.
An evolution of this approach is to attack an adversary’s perceptions of reality. As outlined by Dr Matthew Sussex in a previous Cove Talk, this strategy is often described in colourful terms such as the firehose of falsehoods.[9] Like Maskirovka, this emergent trend has the same intended outcome of prevailing over an adversary without fighting. The difference is, however, that it aims to do so without the target even realising they are being subjugated to another’s will.[10],[11] In the contemporary security setting, the ubiquitous reach of information technology enables malignant actors to spread misinformation and to manipulate populations by coordinating inauthentic identities and behaviours in the online world.[12] This causes many people to distrust information published by experts and institutions despite having more access to knowledge than at any time in history.[13] In this approach the adversary is attempting to bypass their adversaries will to fight.
Malignant actors may seek to exploit these trends to erode popular will to resist threats. At the lower end of the threat spectrum, this reticence could manifest in populations being unwilling to tolerate hardships in support of national efforts. At the other end of the scale, populations may become divided against themselves or against their governments. Passive or active resistance to national efforts to counter identified threats may see individuals and groups seeking to remove themselves from government authority through succession, insurgency or revolution.
As military leaders we need to recognise how multiple factors come together to form a bigger picture.[14] As military professionals, we can further our own education and understanding of the profession of arms by engaging with topics of military and security significance to better understand how they may impact on our missions.[15]
In a talk hosted by 2(AS) Division and streamed by The Cove on Tuesday 30 July, Major Jeremy Barraclough will expand upon these considerations. By fostering greater awareness of the implications of information warfare, information operations, and information actions, this presentation lays out some considerations for homeland defence, a task of significant relevance not only to 2(AS) Division but to the Army and ADF as a whole.
Details
- When: 16.30-17.30 [AEST] Tuesday 30 July
- Where: Randwick Barracks Officer’s Mess (all ranks welcome)
- Livestream: cove.army.gov.au (best accessed outside the DPN)
About the Speaker
Major Jeremy Barraclough is a student of Irregular Warfare with a strong interest in Defence of the Homeland and Special Operations. His studies have included information operations and analysis as well as information warfare. He has been awarded a Master’s degree through the Irregular Warfare and Special Operations program delivered by the University of New South Wales. He remains a strong advocate for professional military education and works in close collaboration with the Cove and the Australian Army Research Centre.
Endnotes
[1] Makuch, A. , Kryzhanivsky, . Stepan Andriyovich , Yerofeyev, . Ivan Alekseyevich , Hajda, . Lubomyr A. , Zasenko, . Oleksa Eliseyovich and Stebelsky, . Ihor. 2024. “Ukraine.” Encyclopedia Britannica. 18 July. Accessed July 18, 2024. https://www.britannica.com/.
[2] Shevchenko, Vitaly. 2014. "Little green men" or "Russian invaders"? 11 March. Accessed July 18, 2024. https://www.bbc.com/.
[3] Roberts, J. 2015. Maskirovka 2.0: hybrid threat, hybrid response. MacDill AFB.: Joint Special Operations University Press.
[4] Galeotti, M. 2021. Storm-333 KGB and Spetznaz seize Kabul, Soviet-Afghan war 1979. Oxford: Bloomsbury publishing.
[5] US Army. 2015. Little green men: a primer on Russian modern unconventional warfare, Ukraine 2013-2014. Fort Bragg: US Army Special Operations Command.
[6] Babbage, Ross. 2019. Winning Without Fighting: Chinese and Russian Political Warfare Campaigns and How the West Can Prevail. Washington D.C.: Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments.
[7] Bruce Hoffman, C. William Vardy, Jacob Ware. 2023. “From Einsatzgruppen to Hamas: A Historical Continuum of Mobile Mass Murder.” Irregular Warfare Initiative. 31 October. Accessed June 06, 2024. https://irregularwarfare.org/.
[8] Robinson, L., Helmus, T., Cohen, R., Nader, A., Radin, A., Magnuson, M., Migacheva, K. 2018. Modern Political Warfare current practices and possible responses. Rand Corporation.
[9] Sussex, Matthew. 2023. “In Defiance of Expectations.” Cove Talk 2(AS)DIV PME series. 26 September. Accessed July 19, 2024. https://cove.army.gov.au/.
[10] Giles, K. 2016. Handbook of Russian Information Warfare. Brussells: NATO Defence College.
[11] Paul, C., Matthews, M. 2016. “The Russian ‘Firehose of Falsehoods’ propaganda model.” Rand Corporation. Accessed August 14, 2022. https://www.rand.org.
[12] Meta. 2022. “August 2022 Quarterly adversarial threat report.” Meta. August. Accessed August 21, 2022. https://about.fb.com.
[13] Nichols, T. 2017. The Death of Expertise. New York: Oxford University Press.
[14] Day, Stephen. 2015. “Thoughts on Generalship: Lessons from two wars.” Australian Army Research Centre.
[15] Australian Army. 2017. “‘Evolving an intellectual edge’ Professional Military Education for the Australian Army.” Australian Army. Accessed July 18, 2024. https://www.jcs.mil/
The views expressed in this article and subsequent comments are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of the Australian Army, the Department of Defence or the Australian Government.
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